Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Trnava 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Anastasiya Soboleva		Aliona Falei

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.09	1.76
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.84)	1.68 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anastasiya Soboleva
44.8%

Aliona Falei
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anastasiya Soboleva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anastasiya Soboleva's form might have worsened.

Aliona Falei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aliona Falei's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anastasiya Soboleva than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliona Falei than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Anastasiya Soboleva - Aliona Falei Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Soboleva is ranked WTA: 303. Falei is ranked WTA: 231.

Soboleva is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Falei has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Falei may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Anastasiya Soboleva - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Aliona Falei - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anastasiya Soboleva
ITF Tournaments
12.05.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Anastasiya Soboleva	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Verena Meliss - Anastasiya Soboleva	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Anastasiya Soboleva - Laura Hietaranta	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Oana Georgeta Simion - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Julia Stusek - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW
- Aliona Falei
ITF Tournaments
12.05.26	Petra Sedlackova - Aliona Falei	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.26	Donna Vekic - Aliona Falei	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	Aliona Falei - Anna-Lena Friedsam	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Aliona Falei - Sofya Lansere	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Aliona Falei - Zhuoxuan Bai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW

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