Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Anastasiya Soboleva		Francesca Jones

	1	2
	4.33	1.2
	3.7	1.25
	3.95	1.21	Watch
	4.24	1.23
	4.04	1.23	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	4.06	1.23	Watch
	3.95	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (2.59)	1.23 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anastasiya Soboleva
23.7%

Francesca Jones
76.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anastasiya Soboleva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anastasiya Soboleva's form might have worsened.

Francesca Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francesca Jones's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anastasiya Soboleva than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anastasiya Soboleva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Jones than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesca Jones, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Anastasiya Soboleva - Francesca Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Soboleva will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Jones will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jones: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francesca Jones will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Soboleva is ranked WTA: 230. Jones is ranked WTA: 113.

Soboleva has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jones is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jones may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Jones is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Soboleva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesca Jones - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 63.17%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anastasiya Soboleva
WTA Roland Garros
21.05.25	Anastasiya Soboleva - Julie Belgraver	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Harriet Dart - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.05.25	Anastasiya Soboleva - Carole Monnet	0:2 ✺
14.05.25	Dalma Galfi - Anastasiya Soboleva	Galfi D. retired ✺
13.05.25	Arianne Hartono - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWL?W
- Francesca Jones
WTA Roland Garros
22.05.25	Mai Hontama - Francesca Jones	1:2 ✺
20.05.25	Lea Boskovic - Francesca Jones	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.05.25	Francesca Jones - Ena Shibahara	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Francesca Jones - Priscilla Hon	2:0 ✺
09.05.25	Francesca Jones - Mia Ristic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.05.24	Francesca Jones - Anastasiya Soboleva	2:0

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