Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bari (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 June 2024, Tuesday


	Anastasiya Soboleva		Lucia Bronzetti

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3	1.34
	3.1	1.32	Watch
	3.27	1.35
	3.27	1.36
	3	1.36
	3.13	1.34	Watch
	3.2	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.68)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anastasiya Soboleva
29.6%

Lucia Bronzetti
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anastasiya Soboleva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anastasiya Soboleva's form might have worsened.

Lucia Bronzetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucia Bronzetti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anastasiya Soboleva than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anastasiya Soboleva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucia Bronzetti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Anastasiya Soboleva - Lucia Bronzetti Predictions

Users Predictions: Lucia Bronzetti will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Soboleva is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bronzetti is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Soboleva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bronzetti is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anastasiya Soboleva
ATP Challenger
03.06.24	Anastasiya Soboleva - Miriana Tona	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.05.24	Francesca Jones - Anastasiya Soboleva	2:0 ✺
24.05.24	Anastasiya Soboleva - Lina Glushko	2:0 ✺
24.05.24	Anastasiya Soboleva - Susan Bandecchi	2:0 ✺
23.05.24	Anastasiya Soboleva - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWW
- Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Roland Garros
26.05.24	Lucia Bronzetti - Naomi Osaka	1:2 ✺
WTA Rabat
23.05.24	Peyton Stearns - Lucia Bronzetti	2:1 ✺
22.05.24	Martina Trevisan - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
21.05.24	Malak El Allami - Lucia Bronzetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.24	Zeynep Sonmez - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWL

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