Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 August 2024, Monday

Referee: Concas R. (Ita)


	Andrea Collarini		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.73	2.04	Watch
	1.7	2.07	Watch
	1.7	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.75)	2.03 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Collarini
54.2%

Matej Dodig
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Collarini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Andrea Collarini - Matej Dodig Predictions

Users Predictions: Andrea Collarini will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collarini is ranked ATP: 257. Dodig is ranked ATP: 287.

Recent matches Collarini is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dodig is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dodig could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
09.08.24	Andrea Collarini - Andrew Paulson	1:2 ✺
07.08.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Andrea Collarini	0:2 ✺
06.08.24	Andrea Collarini - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
29.07.24	Andrea Collarini - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLL
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
05.08.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
24.07.24	Francisco Cerundolo - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
22.07.24	Enzo Couacaud - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.24	Matej Dodig - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWL

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