Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 3 (Spain), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday


	Andrea Guerrieri		Tom Paris

	1	2
	2.5	1.45
	2.44	1.47
	2.48	1.48	Watch
	2.62	1.44
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.44	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.07)	1.47 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Andrea Guerrieri
37%

Tom Paris
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Guerrieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrea Guerrieri's form might have worsened.

Tom Paris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tom Paris's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrea Guerrieri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tom Paris than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tom Paris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Andrea Guerrieri - Tom Paris Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 503. Paris is ranked ATP: 829.

Recent matches Guerrieri is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paris in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Guerrieri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Paris to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guerrieri won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Guerrieri
ITF Tournaments
27.11.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Tyler Stice	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.11.24	Vitaliy Sachko - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Niccolo Catini - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.11.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Giovanni Oradini	1:2 ✺
01.11.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Luca Castagnola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLW
- Tom Paris
ITF Tournaments
27.11.24	John Echeverria - Tom Paris	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Pierluigi Basile - Tom Paris	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Tom Paris - Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez	2:0 ✺
22.11.24	Tom Paris - Pierre Delage	2:1 ✺
21.11.24	Tom Paris - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.08.23	Tom Paris - Andrea Guerrieri	0:2

Andrea Guerrieri - Tom Paris: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide