Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Antalya 9 (Turkey), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Andrea Picchione		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
	1.3	3.1
	1.4	2.75
	1.43	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.32)	2.84 ↓ (3.14)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Picchione
67.3%

Andrey Chepelev
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Picchione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Andrey Chepelev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

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Preview

Picchione is ranked ATP: 357. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 683.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Picchione could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Picchione is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Picchione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Picchione
ITF Tournaments
19.03.25	Andrea Picchione - Dali Blanch	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Andrea Picchione - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Andrea Picchione - Carlos Taberner	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.02.25	Andrea Picchione - Manuel Mazza	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Andrea Picchione - Gokberk Saritas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
19.03.25	Simeon Stankovic - Andrey Chepelev	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Andrey Chepelev - John Sperle	1:2 ✺
06.03.25	Luka Mikrut - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Daniel Uta - Andrey Chepelev	0:2 ✺
27.02.25	Andrey Chepelev - Viacheslav Bielinskyi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
26.08.23	Andrey Chepelev - Andrea Picchione	1:2

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