Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lesa, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lesa 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Andrea Picchione		Francesco Forti

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	2
	1.78	1.88	Watch
	1.72	2.02
	2.46	1.47	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.71	2.01	Watch
	1.7	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 (1.83)	1.91 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Andrea Picchione
51.1%

Francesco Forti
48.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Picchione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Francesco Forti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Andrea Picchione - Francesco Forti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Picchione is ranked ATP: 357. Forti is ranked ATP: 764.

Picchione is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Forti's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Forti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Picchione will win today's game, with odds of 1.83.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Picchione won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Picchione - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Picchione
ITF Tournaments
19.08.25	Andrea Picchione - Gian Marco Ortenzi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Andrea Picchione - Fausto Tabacco	Tabacco F. walkover ✺
10.08.25	Andrea Picchione - Jan Hrazdil	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.08.25	Andrea Picchione - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Leonardo Primucci - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 W?WWW
- Francesco Forti
ITF Tournaments
20.08.25	Francesco Forti - Giulio Perego	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Francesco Forti - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Francesco Forti - Eero Vasa	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Francesco Forti - Maximilian Neuchrist	0:2 ✺
14.07.25	Francesco Forti - Kalin Ivanovski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.07.22	Francesco Forti - Andrea Picchione	2:1

Andrea Picchione - Francesco Forti