Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 5 August 2024, Monday

Referee: Eger R. (Ita)


	Andrea Picchione		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.54	2.37	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.33	Watch
	1.56	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (2.09)	2.29 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Picchione
59.4%

Max Alcala Gurri
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Picchione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andrea Picchione's performance.

Max Alcala Gurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Max Alcala Gurri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Picchione than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andrea Picchione that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Max Alcala Gurri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Andrea Picchione - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Picchione will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Alcala Gurri will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Picchione is ranked ATP: 361. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 484.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Alcala Gurri could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Picchione will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Picchione won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Picchione
ATP Challenger
04.08.24	Andrea Picchione - Pietro Romeo Scomparin	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Andrea Picchione - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
23.07.24	Andrea Picchione - Filip Krajinovic	0:2 ✺
22.07.24	Filippo Romano - Andrea Picchione	1:2 ✺
21.07.24	Mariano Tammaro - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWW
- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
04.08.24	Max Alcala Gurri - Lautaro Midon	Alcala Gurri M. retired ✺
30.07.24	Max Alcala Gurri - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
29.07.24	Max Alcala Gurri - Fabien Salle	2:0 ✺
28.07.24	Max Alcala Gurri - Moritz Pieper	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.07.24	Max Alcala Gurri - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?LWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
10.11.21	Max Alcala Gurri - Andrea Picchione	2:0

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