Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 September 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Andreja Petrovic		Leyton Rivera

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Andreja Petrovic
58.8%

Leyton Rivera
41.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andreja Petrovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Leyton Rivera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andreja Petrovic than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Rivera than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Petrovic is ranked ATP: 1533. Rivera is ranked ATP: 1168.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Petrovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Petrovic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andreja Petrovic
ITF Tournaments
10.09.25	Andreja Petrovic - Robert Watzka	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Andreja Petrovic - Isac Stroemberg	1:2 ✺
20.08.25	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Andreja Petrovic	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Andreja Petrovic - Oscar Weightman	0:2 ✺
13.08.25	Emile Hudd - Andreja Petrovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLW
- Leyton Rivera
ITF Tournaments
10.09.25	Leyton Rivera - Brandon Perez	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Leyton Rivera	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Leyton Rivera - Jim Hendrikx	2:1 ✺
20.08.25	Leyton Rivera - Isac Stroemberg	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Tom Gentzsch - Leyton Rivera	Rivera L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWL?

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Andreja Petrovic - Leyton Rivera