Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LIMA (PERU), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 August 2023, Monday


	Andres Andrade		Leonardo Aboian

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.93	1.9
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.86	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.11)	1.93 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andres Andrade
51.3%

Leonardo Aboian
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andres Andrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andres Andrade's performance.

Leonardo Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leonardo Aboian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andres Andrade than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andres Andrade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonardo Aboian than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leonardo Aboian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Andres Andrade - Leonardo Aboian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Andrade is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aboian is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Andrade could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andres Andrade
ITF Tournaments
12.08.23	Chris Rodesch - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
11.08.23	Andres Andrade - A.J. Catanzariti	2:0 ✺
10.08.23	Andres Andrade - Marcus McDaniel	2:0 ✺
09.08.23	Andres Andrade - Henrik Wiersholm	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.07.23	Andres Andrade - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWL
- Leonardo Aboian
ITF Tournaments
02.08.23	Nicolas Bruna - Leonardo Aboian	2:0 ✺
27.07.23	Viktor Jovic - Leonardo Aboian	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Ivan Fomin - Leonardo Aboian	0:2 ✺
18.07.23	Robin Catry - Leonardo Aboian	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	Chris Rodesch - Leonardo Aboian	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLWLL

Andres Andrade - Leonardo Aboian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide