Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Maia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday


	Andres Santamarta Roig		Francisco Rocha

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.38	3.11
	1.32	3.15	Watch
	1.36	2.89	Watch
	1.35	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.55)	3.02 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andres Santamarta Roig
69%

Francisco Rocha
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andres Santamarta Roig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Andres Santamarta Roig's performance.

Francisco Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francisco Rocha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andres Santamarta Roig than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Andres Santamarta Roig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Rocha than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francisco Rocha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Andres Santamarta Roig - Francisco Rocha Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Santamarta Roig will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Rocha will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Santamarta Roig (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Andres Santamarta Roig will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Santamarta Roig (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Santamarta Roig is ranked ATP: 674. Rocha is ranked ATP: 767.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Rocha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Santamarta Roig might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andres Santamarta Roig
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Andres Santamarta Roig - Stefan Palosi	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Raul Brancaccio - Andres Santamarta Roig	Brancaccio R. retired ✺
20.11.25	Andres Santamarta Roig - Andrej Nedic	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Andres Santamarta Roig	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.11.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Andres Santamarta Roig	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 W?LWL
- Francisco Rocha
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Francisco Rocha - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Leo Borg - Francisco Rocha	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Gus Grumet - Francisco Rocha	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Antoine Ghibaudo - Francisco Rocha	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Francisco Rocha - Kenta Miyoshi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWLW

Andres Santamarta Roig - Francisco Rocha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide