Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kingston - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday


	Andrew Fenty		Evan Zhu

	1	2
	1.87	1.80
	1.92	1.79
	2.03	1.86
	1.94	1.77	Watch
	2.02	1.74
	1.89	1.79	Watch
	1.95	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.68)	1.79 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrew Fenty
48%

Evan Zhu
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrew Fenty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Andrew Fenty's form might have worsened.

Evan Zhu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Evan Zhu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrew Fenty than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Andrew Fenty, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Evan Zhu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Fenty is ranked ATP: 401. Zhu is ranked ATP: 600.

Recent performances by Fenty have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Zhu is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fenty may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fenty won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrew Fenty - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 54.96%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrew Fenty
ATP Challenger
16.08.26	Andrew Fenty - Hunter Heck	2:1 ✺
12.08.26	Lloyd Harris - Andrew Fenty	2:0 ✺
10.08.26	Evan King - Andrew Fenty	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Eli Dieveney - Andrew Fenty	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Jeffrey John Wolf - Andrew Fenty	Fenty A. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWW?
- Evan Zhu
ATP Challenger
16.08.26	Tauheed Browning - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.08.26	Timo Legout - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Maximus Dussault - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
07.08.26	Evan Zhu - Patrick Maloney	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Evan Zhu - Cooper Woestendick	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.06.19	Andrew Fenty - Evan Zhu	1:2

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