Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Angelique Kerber		Aliaksandra Sasnovich

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.68	2.2	Watch
	1.78	2.16
	1.72	2.26
	1.73	2.1
	1.71	2.15	Watch
	1.7	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.67)	2.18 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Angelique Kerber
56.1%

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Angelique Kerber has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angelique Kerber than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	5.3%	47.4%

Angelique Kerber - Aliaksandra Sasnovich Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Kerber will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Sasnovich will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kerber: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Kerber is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sasnovich is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sasnovich could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Kerber won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Angelique Kerber
WTA Roma
09.05.24	Veronika Kudermetova - Angelique Kerber	0:2 ✺
07.05.24	Lauren Davis - Angelique Kerber	0:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
17.04.24	Emma Raducanu - Angelique Kerber	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
20.03.24	Sloane Stephens - Angelique Kerber	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
12.03.24	Angelique Kerber - Caroline Wozniacki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLL
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Roma
09.05.24	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
08.05.24	Anna Karolina Schmiedlova - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
07.05.24	Aleksandra Krunic - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
06.05.24	Alycia Parks - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Mayar Sherif	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
27.05.22	Angelique Kerber - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2
WTA Strasbourg
18.05.22	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Angelique Kerber	1:2
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.21	Angelique Kerber - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:1

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