Match Info

Date: 19 August 2021, Thursday


	Angelique Kerber		Jelena Ostapenko

	1	2
	1.66	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.57	2.4	Watch
	1.59	2.28
	1.65	2.4
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.63	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.88)	2.32 ↑ (1.97)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Angelique Kerber
59%

Jelena Ostapenko
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Angelique Kerber has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Angelique Kerber's performance.

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelena Ostapenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angelique Kerber than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Angelique Kerber that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jelena Ostapenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.2%	0%	10.8%

Angelique Kerber - Jelena Ostapenko Predictions

Users Predictions: Angelique Kerber will win (74 of 83 users predict this - 89.16%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.47% – 95.85%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kerber is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ostapenko is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ostapenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kerber will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kerber won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Angelique Kerber
WTA Cincinnati
18.08.21	Elina Svitolina - Angelique Kerber	1:2 ✺
16.08.21	Maria Sakkari - Angelique Kerber	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
08.07.21	Ashleigh Barty - Angelique Kerber	2:0 ✺
06.07.21	Karolina Muchova - Angelique Kerber	0:2 ✺
05.07.21	Cori Gauff - Angelique Kerber	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWLWW
- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Cincinnati
18.08.21	Jelena Ostapenko - Jennifer Brady	Brady J. retired ✺
16.08.21	Jelena Ostapenko - Tamara Zidansek	2:0 ✺
WTA Montreal
09.08.21	Jelena Ostapenko - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
WTA Olympic Games
24.07.21	Jelena Ostapenko - Elena Vesnina	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.21	Jelena Ostapenko - Ajla Tomljanovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 ?WLLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
13.05.21	Jelena Ostapenko - Angelique Kerber	2:1
WTA Wimbledon
12.07.18	Jelena Ostapenko - Angelique Kerber	0:2

Angelique Kerber - Jelena Ostapenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide