Match Info

Date: 25 March 2021, Thursday


	Angelique Kerber		Renata Zarazua

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.48	2.65	Watch
	1.49	2.5
	1.54	2.68
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.47)	2.55 ↓ (2.89)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Angelique Kerber
62.8%

Renata Zarazua
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Angelique Kerber has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Renata Zarazua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angelique Kerber than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renata Zarazua than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Angelique Kerber - Renata Zarazua Predictions

Users Predictions: Angelique Kerber will win (28 of 34 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.53% – 95.17%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kerber is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zarazua is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kerber could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kerber will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Angelique Kerber
WTA Dubai
08.03.21	Angelique Kerber - Caroline Garcia	1:2 ✺
WTA Doha
03.03.21	Anett Kontaveit - Angelique Kerber	2:0 ✺
01.03.21	Angelique Kerber - Cagla Buyukakcay	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
07.02.21	Bernarda Pera - Angelique Kerber	2:0 ✺
WTA Melbourne Grampians Trophy
05.02.21	Maria Sakkari - Angelique Kerber	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Renata Zarazua
WTA Miami
24.03.21	Nao Hibino - Renata Zarazua	1:2 ✺
23.03.21	Viktoria Hruncakova - Renata Zarazua	Kuzmova V. retired ✺
22.03.21	Renata Zarazua - Astra Sharma	2:1 ✺
WTA Monterrey
15.03.21	Renata Zarazua - Tamara Zidansek	0:2 ✺
WTA Guadalajara
10.03.21	Anna Karolina Schmiedlova - Renata Zarazua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 W?WLL

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