Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Castellon - Vall d’Uxo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday


	Ania Hertel		Ruth Roura Llaverias

	1	2
	3.4	1.26
	3.49	1.29
	3.19	1.32	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	3.09	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.75)	1.3 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ania Hertel
28%

Ruth Roura Llaverias
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ania Hertel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ania Hertel's form might have worsened.

Ruth Roura Llaverias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ruth Roura Llaverias's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ania Hertel than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ania Hertel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruth Roura Llaverias than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ruth Roura Llaverias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ania Hertel - Ruth Roura Llaverias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hertel is ranked WTA: 726. Roura Llaverias is ranked WTA: 618.

Hertel has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Roura Llaverias has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hertel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Roura Llaverias is the team to beat.

We predict that Hertel will win today's game, with odds of 3.29.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ania Hertel
ITF Tournaments
29.05.25	Berta Bonardi - Ania Hertel	1:2 ✺
27.05.25	Ania Hertel - Marta Soriano Santiago	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Nadia Kulbiej - Ania Hertel	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Ania Hertel - Victoria Kan	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Ania Hertel - Marie Mettraux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWWW
- Ruth Roura Llaverias
ITF Tournaments
27.05.25	Celine Simunyu - Ruth Roura Llaverias	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Irene Burillo Escorihuela - Ruth Roura Llaverias	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Laura Mair - Ruth Roura Llaverias	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Katerina Siniakova - Ruth Roura Llaverias	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Storm Hunter - Ruth Roura Llaverias	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLLLW

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