Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bari, clay - Final

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bari 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Anna Bondar		Anca Alexia Todoni

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.72
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.12	1.72	Watch
	2.09	1.71	Watch
	1.94	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.68)	1.72 ↓ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anna Bondar
45.5%

Anca Alexia Todoni
54.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anna Bondar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anna Bondar's form might have worsened.

Anca Alexia Todoni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anca Alexia Todoni's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anna Bondar than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anna Bondar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anca Alexia Todoni than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anca Alexia Todoni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Anna Bondar - Anca Alexia Todoni Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bondar will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Todoni will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Todoni: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bondar (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Todoni (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Todoni (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bondar (votes: 2 - 50%). Todoni (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bondar is ranked WTA: 82. Todoni is ranked WTA: 88.

Bondar is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Todoni is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Todoni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Todoni will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Anna Bondar - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.15%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anna Bondar
ATP Challenger
07.06.25	Kathinka Von Deichmann - Anna Bondar	0:2 ✺
06.06.25	Anna Bondar - Jil Belen Teichmann	2:1 ✺
04.06.25	Anna Bondar - Tessah Andrianjafitrimo	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Anna Bondar - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Anna Bondar - Anouk Koevermans	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWW?
- Anca Alexia Todoni
ATP Challenger
07.06.25	Anca Alexia Todoni - Nuria Parrizas Diaz	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Iryna Shymanovich - Anca Alexia Todoni	0:2 ✺
04.06.25	Dominika Salkova - Anca Alexia Todoni	0:2 ✺
02.06.25	Tatiana Prozorova - Anca Alexia Todoni	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
27.05.25	Anca Alexia Todoni - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anna Bondar
WTA Guangzhou
29.10.26	Anna Bondar - Kaitlin Quevedo	✺

Anna Bondar - Anca Alexia Todoni