Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday


	Anna-Lena Friedsam		Alina Korneeva

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.3	1.28	Watch
	3.52	1.3
	2.95	1.36	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.35	1.28	Watch
	3.33	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.75)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anna-Lena Friedsam
28.2%

Alina Korneeva
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anna-Lena Friedsam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anna-Lena Friedsam's form might have worsened.

Alina Korneeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alina Korneeva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anna-Lena Friedsam than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anna-Lena Friedsam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alina Korneeva than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alina Korneeva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Anna Lena Friedsam - Alina Korneeva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Friedsam is ranked WTA: 184. Korneeva is ranked WTA: 157.

Friedsam is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Korneeva is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Korneeva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Korneeva is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anna-Lena Friedsam
WTA Ostrava
31.01.26	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Katherine Sebov	0:2 ✺
WTA Australian Open
12.01.26	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Linda Fruhvirtova	1:2 ✺
WTA Auckland
02.01.26	Kristina Mladenovic - Anna-Lena Friedsam	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.12.25	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Elsa Jacquemot	1:2 ✺
12.12.25	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW
- Alina Korneeva
ITF Tournaments
30.01.26	Alina Korneeva - Harriet Dart	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Alina Korneeva - Carol Young Suh Lee	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Alina Korneeva - Erika Andreeva	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Carole Monnet - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Fiona Ferro - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWW

Anna-Lena Friedsam - Alina Korneeva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide