Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - FINAL

Date: 25 April 2023, Tuesday


	Anna-Lena Friedsam		Arantxa Rus

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.05
	1.73	2.06
	1.76	2.08
	1.72	2.17
	1.73	2
	1.68	2.09	Watch
	1.7	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.5)	2.07 ↓ (2.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anna-Lena Friedsam
54.6%

Arantxa Rus
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anna-Lena Friedsam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anna-Lena Friedsam's form might have worsened.

Arantxa Rus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arantxa Rus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anna-Lena Friedsam than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anna-Lena Friedsam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arantxa Rus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Anna Lena Friedsam - Arantxa Rus Predictions

Users Predictions: Anna-Lena Friedsam will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Friedsam could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Friedsam won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anna-Lena Friedsam
WTA Madrid
24.04.23	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Moyuka Uchijima	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
15.04.23	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Laura Pigossi	2:0 ✺
14.04.23	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Beatriz Haddad Maia	1:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
04.04.23	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Varvara Gracheva	0:2 ✺
02.04.23	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Asia Muhammad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLLW
- Arantxa Rus
WTA Madrid
24.04.23	Carlota Martinez Cirez - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.04.23	Tereza Martincova - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
13.04.23	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
12.04.23	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
07.04.23	Arantxa Rus - Sonay Kartal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
31.01.20	Anna-Lena Friedsam - Arantxa Rus	0:2

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