Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Southaven, MS, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday


	Annika Penickova		Jia-Jing Lu

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.60
	2.2	1.59
	2.23	1.67
	2.17	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.1	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.85)	1.63 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annika Penickova
42.8%

Jia-Jing Lu
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

73.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annika Penickova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Annika Penickova's performance.

Jia-Jing Lu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jia-Jing Lu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Annika Penickova than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Annika Penickova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jia-Jing Lu than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jia-Jing Lu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Annika Penickova - Jia Jing Lu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Penickova is ranked WTA: 928. Lu is ranked WTA: 375.

Penickova has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Lu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annika Penickova
ITF Tournaments
06.08.26	Mayu Crossley - Annika Penickova	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Annika Penickova - Carlota Moreno	Moreno C. Retired ✺
02.08.26	Piper Charney - Annika Penickova	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Annika Penickova - Angelina Voloshchuk	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Annika Penickova - Ekaterina Khayrutdinova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 W?WWW
- Jia-Jing Lu
ITF Tournaments
06.08.26	Aspen Schuman - Jia-Jing Lu	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Piper Charney - Jia-Jing Lu	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.26	Mai Hontama - Jia-Jing Lu	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Jia-Jing Lu - Caroline Dolehide	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.07.26	Jia-Jing Lu - Teah Chavez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLWL

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