Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday


	Antonia Schmidt		Sarah Iliev

	1	2
	1.4	2.65
	1.42	2.73	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.41	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.64)	2.72 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antonia Schmidt
65.9%

Sarah Iliev
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antonia Schmidt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Antonia Schmidt's performance.

Sarah Iliev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarah Iliev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antonia Schmidt than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antonia Schmidt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarah Iliev than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarah Iliev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Antonia Schmidt - Sarah Iliev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Schmidt is ranked WTA: 423. Iliev is ranked WTA: 819.

Schmidt is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Iliev is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Schmidt will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antonia Schmidt
ITF Tournaments
10.04.25	Antonia Schmidt - Ikumi Yamazaki	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Antonia Schmidt	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Antonia Schmidt - Eunhye Lee	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Thasaporn Naklo - Antonia Schmidt	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Antonia Schmidt - Eri Shimizu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWW
- Sarah Iliev
ITF Tournaments
10.04.25	Sarah Iliev - Jenny Lim	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	Viola Turini - Sarah Iliev	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Sarah Iliev - Alice Robbe	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Giulia Morlet - Sarah Iliev	0:2 ✺
27.02.25	Sarah Iliev - Elena Milovanovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWL

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