Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Sao João da Boa Vista, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Antonia Vergara Rivera		Berta Bonardi

	1	2
	1.16	4.59
	1.11	5.28	Watch
	1.18	4.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.34)	4.75 ↑ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antonia Vergara Rivera
80.5%

Berta Bonardi
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antonia Vergara Rivera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Antonia Vergara Rivera's performance.

Berta Bonardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Berta Bonardi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antonia Vergara Rivera than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Antonia Vergara Rivera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berta Bonardi than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Berta Bonardi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Antonia Vergara Rivera - Berta Bonardi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vergara Rivera is ranked WTA: 533. Bonardi is ranked WTA: 699.

Vergara Rivera is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bonardi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bonardi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vergara Rivera is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antonia Vergara Rivera
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Leticia Garcia Vidal	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Luciana Moyano	2:1 ✺
03.10.25	Gabriela Ce - Antonia Vergara Rivera	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Leticia Garcia Vidal - Antonia Vergara Rivera	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Luiza Fullana - Antonia Vergara Rivera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW
- Berta Bonardi
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Maria Paulina Perez Garcia - Berta Bonardi	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	Marina Bulbarella - Berta Bonardi	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Berta Bonardi - Carolina Alves	0:2 ✺
24.09.25	Berta Bonardi - Victoria Bosio	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Luna Maria Cinalli - Berta Bonardi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLL

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