Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Fukuoka (Japan), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2024, Monday


	Aoi Ito		Haruka Kaji

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.2	1.6
	2.29	1.58
	2.25	1.57
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2.2	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.66)	1.6 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aoi Ito
42%

Haruka Kaji
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aoi Ito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aoi Ito's form might have worsened.

Haruka Kaji has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Haruka Kaji's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aoi Ito than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aoi Ito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Haruka Kaji, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Kaji could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aoi Ito
ITF Tournaments
01.05.24	Arina Rodionova - Aoi Ito	2:0 ✺
30.04.24	Aoi Ito - Sayaka Ishii	Ito A. retired ✺
11.04.24	Aoi Ito - Mananchaya Sawangkaew	0:2 ✺
10.04.24	Aoi Ito - Petra Hule	2:0 ✺
08.04.24	Aoi Ito - Kyoka Okamura	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 L?LWW
- Haruka Kaji
ITF Tournaments
02.05.24	Mai Hontama - Haruka Kaji	2:1 ✺
30.04.24	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Haruka Kaji	1:2 ✺
24.04.24	Haruka Kaji - Kimberly Birrell	1:2 ✺
11.04.24	Destanee Aiava - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Ayano Shimizu - Haruka Kaji	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.11.23	Aoi Ito - Haruka Kaji	2:0
29.06.23	Haruka Kaji - Aoi Ito	2:1
12.10.22	Haruka Kaji - Aoi Ito	2:1

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