Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 17 January 2024, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Arantxa Rus		Anna Kalinskaya

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.85	1.42
	2.9	1.42
	3.22	1.4
	2.75	1.44
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.92	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.16)	1.41 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arantxa Rus
32.4%

Anna Kalinskaya
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arantxa Rus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arantxa Rus's form might have worsened.

Anna Kalinskaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anna Kalinskaya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arantxa Rus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anna Kalinskaya than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anna Kalinskaya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Arantxa Rus - Anna Kalinskaya Predictions

Users Predictions: Anna Kalinskaya will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Rus is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kalinskaya is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kalinskaya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kalinskaya will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Kalinskaya to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rus won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arantxa Rus
WTA Australian Open
15.01.24	Anhelina Kalinina - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
WTA Hobart
10.01.24	Elise Mertens - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
09.01.24	Arantxa Rus - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Linda Fruhvirtova - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
WTA United Cup
02.01.24	Donna Vekic - Arantxa Rus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWL
- Anna Kalinskaya
WTA Australian Open
15.01.24	Anna Kalinskaya - Katie Volynets	2:1 ✺
WTA Adelaide
10.01.24	Darya Kasatkina - Anna Kalinskaya	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Anna Kalinskaya - Barbora Krejcikova	2:1 ✺
06.01.24	Cristina Bucsa - Anna Kalinskaya	0:2 ✺
06.01.24	Elena Micic - Anna Kalinskaya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.10.18	Anna Kalinskaya - Arantxa Rus	1:2
20.06.18	Anna Kalinskaya - Arantxa Rus	2:0

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