Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday


	Arantxa Rus		Caroline Werner

	1	2
			Watch
	1.39	2.76	Watch
	1.41	2.81
	1.66	2.06	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.37	2.88	Watch
	1.55	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.55)	2.6 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arantxa Rus
64%

Caroline Werner
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arantxa Rus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Caroline Werner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caroline Werner than the current prediction. (+3%)

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Preview

Rus is ranked WTA: 122. Werner is ranked WTA: 268.

Rus is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Werner's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rus will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Arantxa Rus - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 60.36%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arantxa Rus
ITF Tournaments
01.08.25	Arantxa Rus - Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Arantxa Rus - Victoria Gomez	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Arantxa Rus - Anna Siskova	2:1 ✺
WTA Hamburg
16.07.25	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
15.07.25	Sada Nahimana - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW
- Caroline Werner
ITF Tournaments
01.08.25	Justina Mikulskyte - Caroline Werner	1:2 ✺
31.07.25	Lisa Zaar - Caroline Werner	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Cristina Diaz Adrover - Caroline Werner	0:2 ✺
WTA Prague
19.07.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Caroline Werner	2:1 ✺
WTA Hamburg
17.07.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Caroline Werner	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLL

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