Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Austin, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday


	Arantxa Rus		Elizabeth Mandlik

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.96	1.76	Watch
	2.15	1.72
	1.90	1.82	Watch
	2.05	1.67	Watch
	1.9	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.84)	1.78 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arantxa Rus
47.5%

Elizabeth Mandlik
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arantxa Rus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Elizabeth Mandlik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elizabeth Mandlik than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Arantxa Rus - Elizabeth Mandlik Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rus will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Mandlik will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mandlik: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elizabeth Mandlik will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rus is ranked WTA: 140. Mandlik is ranked WTA: 202.

In recent matches, Rus has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mandlik is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Arantxa Rus - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Elizabeth Mandlik - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arantxa Rus
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Arantxa Rus - Anna Sinclair Rogers	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Arantxa Rus - Elvina Kalieva	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Arantxa Rus - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Arantxa Rus - Maya Iyengar	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Lola Radivojevic - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWWL
- Elizabeth Mandlik
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Elizabeth Mandlik - Vivian Wolff	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.11.25	Elvina Kalieva - Elizabeth Mandlik	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Diletta Cherubini - Elizabeth Mandlik	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Sachia Vickery - Elizabeth Mandlik	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Maria Kozyreva - Elizabeth Mandlik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWW

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