Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: PALERMO (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 18 July 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	O2 TV Tenis
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Arantxa Rus		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.88	1.92
	1.93	1.88
	1.88	1.99
	2	1.8
	1.94	1.86	Watch
	1.93	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.38)	1.87 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arantxa Rus
49.2%

Jasmine Paolini
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arantxa Rus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arantxa Rus's performance.

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jasmine Paolini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arantxa Rus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jasmine Paolini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22%	0%	78%

Arantxa Rus - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Users Predictions: Jasmine Paolini will win (32 of 41 users predict this - 78.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.38% – 90.72%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rus in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Paolini is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paolini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Rus to win the game is with odds 2.19.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rus won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arantxa Rus
ATP Challenger
16.07.23	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
15.07.23	Arantxa Rus - Fiona Ferro	2:0 ✺
14.07.23	Eva Lys - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
12.07.23	Erika Andreeva - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
11.07.23	Elvina Kalieva - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Wimbledon
05.07.23	Jasmine Paolini - Petra Kvitova	1:2 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
27.06.23	Jasmine Paolini - Ons Jabeur	0:2 ✺
25.06.23	Jasmine Paolini - Jodie Anna Burrage	2:0 ✺
24.06.23	Jasmine Paolini - Ranah Akua Stoiber	2:1 ✺
WTA Birmingham
19.06.23	Magda Linette - Jasmine Paolini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.06.21	Jasmine Paolini - Arantxa Rus	2:0
WTA Ostrava
17.10.20	Jasmine Paolini - Arantxa Rus	0:2
ITF Tournaments
12.07.18	Jasmine Paolini - Arantxa Rus	0:2

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