Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Arantxa Rus		Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	2.8	1.42
	3.15	1.37
	2.97	1.44
	3.12	1.35	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3.1	1.37	Watch
	3.2	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.63)	1.38 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arantxa Rus
31.1%

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arantxa Rus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arantxa Rus's form might have worsened.

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Camila Osorio Serrano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arantxa Rus than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Arantxa Rus - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Rus (votes: 2 - 40%). Osorio Serrano (votes: 3 - 60%).

Users Predictions: Maria Camila Osorio Serrano will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rus is ranked WTA: 99. Osorio Serrano is ranked WTA: 55.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Osorio Serrano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Osorio Serrano is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rus won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arantxa Rus
WTA Rabat
21.05.25	Arantxa Rus - Maria Mateas	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Nicole Fossa Huergo - Arantxa Rus	1:2 ✺
20.05.25	Mayar Sherif - Arantxa Rus	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.05.25	Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Arantxa Rus	2:1 ✺
13.05.25	Katarina Zavatska - Arantxa Rus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LW?LW
- Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
WTA Rabat
23.05.25	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:1 ✺
22.05.25	Maria Mateas - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Kamilla Rakhimova - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Marina Stakusic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
07.05.24	Arantxa Rus - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	1:2

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