Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kayseri 6, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 July 2025, Friday


	Arda Azkara		Semen Pankin

	1	2
	1.8	1.87
	1.86	1.9
			Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.71	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.59)	1.92 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arda Azkara
51.7%

Semen Pankin
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arda Azkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arda Azkara's form might have worsened.

Semen Pankin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Semen Pankin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Azkara than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arda Azkara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Semen Pankin than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Semen Pankin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Azkara is ranked ATP: 632. Pankin is ranked ATP: 746.

Azkara is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Pankin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Azkara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Azkara will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Azkara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arda Azkara
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Arda Azkara - Miles Clark	2:0 ✺
01.07.25	Arda Azkara - Bogdan Seleznev	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Paul Inchauspe - Arda Azkara	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Mert Naci Turker - Arda Azkara	1:2 ✺
27.06.25	Arda Azkara - Amir Milushev	Azkara A. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLW?
- Semen Pankin
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Nikola Djosic - Semen Pankin	Djosic N. retired ✺
02.07.25	Andriy Poritskyy - Semen Pankin	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Semen Pankin - Niklas Schell	1:2 ✺
22.06.25	Semen Pankin - Arda Azkara	0:2 ✺
21.06.25	Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine - Semen Pankin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 ?WLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.06.25	Semen Pankin - Arda Azkara	0:2
12.06.25	Arda Azkara - Semen Pankin	Azkara A. retired

Arda Azkara - Semen Pankin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide