Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Edmonton (Canada), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Ariana Arseneault		Jenny Duerst

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	2.15	1.6
	1.9	1.86
	1.86	1.85	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	2.15	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.59)	1.77 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana Arseneault
47.5%

Jenny Duerst
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Arseneault has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ariana Arseneault's performance.

Jenny Duerst has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jenny Duerst might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Arseneault than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ariana Arseneault that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jenny Duerst than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jenny Duerst could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Ariana Arseneault - Jenny Duerst Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arseneault will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Duerst will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arseneault is ranked WTA: 896. Duerst is ranked WTA: 409.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Arseneault could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Duerst will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Duerst to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Arseneault
ITF Tournaments
11.10.24	Ariana Arseneault - Lea Ma	2:0 ✺
09.10.24	Dalayna Hewitt - Ariana Arseneault	0:2 ✺
07.10.24	Ariana Arseneault - Mana Kawamura	2:0 ✺
12.09.24	Lara Pfeifer - Ariana Arseneault	2:0 ✺
11.09.24	Ariana Arseneault - Paulina Montiel	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWL?
- Jenny Duerst
ITF Tournaments
11.10.24	Jenny Duerst - Stacey Fung	2:1 ✺
09.10.24	Jenny Duerst - Tori Kinard	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Jenny Duerst - Mariya Dobreva	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Jenny Duerst - Sonja Zhiyenbayeva	0:2 ✺
27.09.24	Jenny Duerst - Tess Sugnaux	Sugnaux T. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWL?

Ariana Arseneault - Jenny Duerst: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide