Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Valencia - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday


	Ariana Geerlings Martinez		Diletta Cherubini

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.3
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.3	3.31
	1.33	3.25
	1.32	3.21	Watch
	1.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.53)	3.25 ↑ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana Geerlings Martinez
71.2%

Diletta Cherubini
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Geerlings Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ariana Geerlings Martinez's performance.

Diletta Cherubini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diletta Cherubini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Geerlings Martinez than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ariana Geerlings Martinez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diletta Cherubini than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diletta Cherubini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Diletta Cherubini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Geerlings Martinez is ranked WTA: 404. Cherubini is ranked WTA: 454.

Geerlings Martinez is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cherubini has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Geerlings Martinez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Geerlings Martinez will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Geerlings Martinez
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Aoi Ito - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	1:2 ✺
01.06.25	Georgia Andreea Craciun - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	Anastasia Gasanova - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	1:2 ✺
30.05.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Suana Tucakovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWWW
- Diletta Cherubini
ATP Challenger
08.06.25	Diletta Cherubini - Alevtina Ibragimova	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.05.25	Diletta Cherubini - Monika Ekstrand	Ekstrand M. walkover ✺
07.05.25	Diletta Cherubini - Gabriella Vannessa Lindgren	2:1 ✺
30.04.25	Diletta Cherubini - Anna Sinclair Rogers	1:2 ✺
16.04.25	Arina Rodionova - Diletta Cherubini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 W?WLL

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