Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday


	Ariana Geerlings Martinez		Hikaru Sato

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	2.9
	1.4	2.75
	1.42	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.73)	2.78 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana Geerlings Martinez
66.7%

Hikaru Sato
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Geerlings Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ariana Geerlings Martinez's performance.

Hikaru Sato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hikaru Sato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Geerlings Martinez than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ariana Geerlings Martinez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hikaru Sato than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hikaru Sato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Hikaru Sato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Geerlings Martinez is ranked WTA: 408. Sato is ranked WTA: 350.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Sato could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Geerlings Martinez
ITF Tournaments
02.04.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Shuyue Ma	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	Irene Burillo Escorihuela - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Marina Gatell	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Monika Ekstrand	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Britt Du Pree - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL
- Hikaru Sato
ITF Tournaments
01.04.25	Camilla Zanolini - Hikaru Sato	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Vendula Valdmannova - Hikaru Sato	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Carola Cavelli - Hikaru Sato	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Dalila Spiteri - Hikaru Sato	2:1 ✺
12.03.25	Vendula Valdmannova - Hikaru Sato	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLW

Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Hikaru Sato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide