Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Reus, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Ariana Geerlings Martinez		Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.20
	1.64	2.10
	1.63	2.30
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.61	2.27
	1.63	2.10	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.28)	2.18 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ariana Geerlings Martinez
57.3%

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana Geerlings Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ariana Geerlings Martinez's performance.

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Geerlings Martinez than the current prediction. (-22.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ariana Geerlings Martinez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur than the current prediction. (+22.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Geerlings Martinez is ranked WTA: 589. Steur is ranked WTA: 331.

Geerlings Martinez is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Steur has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Steur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Geerlings Martinez could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Geerlings Martinez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.38%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ariana Geerlings Martinez
ITF Tournaments
28.08.26	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Justina Mikulskyte	1:2 ✺
27.08.26	Anastasia Zolotareva - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Chloe Paquet - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Dalila Jakupovic - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Radka Zelnickova - Ariana Geerlings Martinez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW
- Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
ITF Tournaments
29.08.26	Francesca Pace - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Amandine Monnot	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Tessa Johanna Brockmann - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Yelyzaveta Kotliar - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Valentina Steiner - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
11.04.24	Ariana Geerlings Martinez - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	2:0

Upcoming Matches