Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Changwon 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday


	Arina Varaksina		Sera Nishimoto

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.47	2.74
	1.34	2.88	Watch
	1.36	2.75
	1.41	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.58)	2.77 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arina Varaksina
66.5%

Sera Nishimoto
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arina Varaksina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arina Varaksina's performance.

Sera Nishimoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sera Nishimoto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arina Varaksina than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arina Varaksina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sera Nishimoto than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sera Nishimoto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arina Varaksina - Sera Nishimoto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Varaksina is ranked WTA: 965. Nishimoto is ranked WTA: 957.

Varaksina has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Nishimoto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nishimoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Varaksina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arina Varaksina
ITF Tournaments
20.05.26	Meiqi Guo - Arina Varaksina	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Arina Varaksina - Ya-Hsuan Lee	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Carolann Delaunay - Arina Varaksina	2:1 ✺
16.04.26	Marie Weckerle - Arina Varaksina	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Vlada Kozak - Arina Varaksina	Kozak V. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLL?
- Sera Nishimoto
ITF Tournaments
20.05.26	Sera Nishimoto - On Yu Choi	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Yuno Kitahara - Sera Nishimoto	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Sera Nishimoto - Miho Kuramochi	Kuramochi M. Retired ✺
06.05.26	Sera Nishimoto - Suzuna Oigawa	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Sera Nishimoto - Yuhan Wang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WL?WL

Arina Varaksina - Sera Nishimoto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide