What is the expert prediction for Arjun Rathi vs Grigory Shebekin?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Arjun Rathi vs Grigory Shebekin. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Arjun Rathi vs Grigory Shebekin Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, May 06, 2026)

Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Hurghada 4, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Arjun Rathi		Grigory Shebekin

	1	2
	2.85	1.43
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.38	1.5
	2.59	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.22)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arjun Rathi
35.8%

Grigory Shebekin
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arjun Rathi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arjun Rathi's form might have worsened.

Grigory Shebekin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grigory Shebekin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arjun Rathi than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arjun Rathi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigory Shebekin than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grigory Shebekin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rathi is ranked ATP: 1235. Shebekin is ranked ATP: 835.

Rathi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shebekin is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shebekin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shebekin might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Shebekin will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arjun Rathi
ITF Tournaments
29.04.26	Arjun Rathi - Roman Kharlamov	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Leo Borg - Arjun Rathi	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Arjun Rathi - Mukund Sasikumar	2:1 ✺
26.03.26	Arjun Rathi - Aditya Vishal Balsekar	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Timofei Derepasko - Arjun Rathi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LLWWW
- Grigory Shebekin
ITF Tournaments
12.04.26	Grigory Shebekin - Daniel Siniakov	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Grigory Shebekin - Karan Singh	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Paul Jubb - Grigory Shebekin	1:2 ✺
09.04.26	Grigory Shebekin - Karim Ibrahim	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Kris van Wyk - Grigory Shebekin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 LWWWW

Arjun Rathi - Grigory Shebekin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide