Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Luan 7, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday


	Aruzhan Sagandikova		Kayo Nishimura

	1	2
	2.59	1.46
	2.59	1.45	Watch
	2.66	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (2.66)	1.43 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aruzhan Sagandikova
35.3%

Kayo Nishimura
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aruzhan Sagandikova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Kayo Nishimura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aruzhan Sagandikova than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aruzhan Sagandikova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayo Nishimura than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kayo Nishimura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aruzhan Sagandikova - Kayo Nishimura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sagandikova is ranked WTA: 958. Nishimura is ranked WTA: 901.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sagandikova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nishimura is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aruzhan Sagandikova
ITF Tournaments
13.08.25	Aruzhan Sagandikova - Valeria Savinykh	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Aruzhan Sagandikova - Adriana Tkachenko	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Aruzhan Sagandikova - Edda Mamedova	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Vlada Zvereva - Aruzhan Sagandikova	1:2 ✺
07.08.25	Aruzhan Sagandikova - Daria Zelinskaya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLWW
- Kayo Nishimura
ITF Tournaments
23.08.25	Kristiana Sidorova - Kayo Nishimura	2:1 ✺
22.08.25	Boyoung Jeong - Kayo Nishimura	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Kayo Nishimura - Yidi Yang	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Michika Ozeki - Kayo Nishimura	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Kayo Nishimura - Punnin Kovapitukted	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWL

Aruzhan Sagandikova - Kayo Nishimura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide