Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - Final

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2


	Aryna Sabalenka		Mirra Andreeva

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.6
	1.51	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.64	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.54	2.51	Watch
	1.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.46)	2.56 ↓ (2.74)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
62.8%

Mirra Andreeva
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Mirra Andreeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aryna Sabalenka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirra Andreeva than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirra Andreeva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	0%	15%

Aryna Sabalenka - Mirra Andreeva Predictions

Users Predictions: Aryna Sabalenka will win (34 of 40 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.93% – 96.07%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Andreeva is ranked WTA: 11.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 4.

One and the other player during the last matches got a chain of wins.

Sabalenka will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Sabalenka to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:2 (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Indian Wells
14.03.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Sonay Kartal	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Aryna Sabalenka - McCartney Kessler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWW
- Mirra Andreeva
WTA Indian Wells
14.03.25	Mirra Andreeva - Iga Swiatek	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Mirra Andreeva - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Elena Rybakina - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Clara Tauson - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Varvara Gracheva - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
18.01.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Mirra Andreeva	2:0
WTA Brisbane
04.01.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Mirra Andreeva	2:0
WTA Roland Garros
05.06.24	Mirra Andreeva - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1
WTA Madrid
01.05.24	Mirra Andreeva - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
Exhibition World Tennis League Women
21.12.23	Aryna Sabalenka - Mirra Andreeva	1:0
WTA Madrid
01.05.23	Mirra Andreeva - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2

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