Match Info

Date: 4 September 2020, Friday


	Aslan Karatsev		Mats Moraing

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.33	3.15
	1.35	3.27
	1.31	3.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.5)	3.2 ↑ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aslan Karatsev
70.6%

Mats Moraing
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aslan Karatsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aslan Karatsev's performance.

Mats Moraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mats Moraing might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aslan Karatsev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mats Moraing than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mats Moraing could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aslan Karatsev - Mats Moraing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Karatsev in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Moraing is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moraing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Karatsev is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Karatsev to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Karatsev won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Challenger
03.09.20	Ernests Gulbis - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
02.09.20	Aslan Karatsev - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
30.08.20	Aslan Karatsev - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0 ✺
29.08.20	Stanislas Wawrinka - Aslan Karatsev	Karatsev A. walkover ✺
29.08.20	Aslan Karatsev - Dmitry Popko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWW?W
- Mats Moraing
ATP Challenger
03.09.20	Mats Moraing - Sergiy Stakhovsky	Stakhovsky S. retired ✺
31.08.20	Mats Moraing - Renzo Olivo	2:0 ✺
26.08.20	Mats Moraing - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
24.08.20	Facundo Mena - Mats Moraing	0:2 ✺
17.08.20	Philipp Kohlschreiber - Mats Moraing	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 ?WLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.04.19	Aslan Karatsev - Mats Moraing	2:0

Aslan Karatsev - Mats Moraing: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide