Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W60 NAPLES, FL (USA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 12 May 2023, Friday


	Astra Sharma		Kayla Day

	1	2
			Watch
	2.5	1.45
	2.55	1.47
	2.59	1.48
	2.38	1.53
	2.53	1.46	Watch
	2.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (1.83)	1.47 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astra Sharma
36.8%

Kayla Day
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astra Sharma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Astra Sharma's form might have worsened.

Kayla Day has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kayla Day's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astra Sharma than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Astra Sharma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayla Day than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kayla Day, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Astra Sharma - Kayla Day Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sharma is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Day in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Day could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Day will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Day to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Astra Sharma
ITF Tournaments
11.05.23	Astra Sharma - Jaeda Daniel	2:0 ✺
10.05.23	Astra Sharma - Akasha Urhobo	2:0 ✺
06.05.23	Astra Sharma - Ann Li	0:2 ✺
05.05.23	Renata Zarazua - Astra Sharma	1:2 ✺
04.05.23	Sophie Chang - Astra Sharma	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW
- Kayla Day
ITF Tournaments
11.05.23	Christina Rosca - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
10.05.23	Noelia Zeballos - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
07.05.23	Ann Li - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
06.05.23	Caroline Dolehide - Kayla Day	1:2 ✺
05.05.23	Kayla Day - Marcela Zacarias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWWW

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