Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Ceuta, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Astrid Cirotte		Lorena Solar Donoso

	1	2
	2.06	1.64	Watch
	2.16	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.57)	1.63 ↓ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astrid Cirotte
43.2%

Lorena Solar Donoso
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astrid Cirotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Astrid Cirotte's form might have worsened.

Lorena Solar Donoso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorena Solar Donoso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astrid Cirotte than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Astrid Cirotte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorena Solar Donoso than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorena Solar Donoso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Astrid Cirotte - Lorena Solar Donoso Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cirotte (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cirotte is ranked WTA: 623. Solar Donoso is ranked WTA: 1205.

Cirotte is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Solar Donoso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Solar Donoso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cirotte is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Astrid Cirotte
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Astrid Cirotte - Maria Oliver Sanchez	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Astrid Cirotte - Valentina Vargas	2:1 ✺
11.09.25	Astrid Cirotte - Fiona Ganz	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Astrid Cirotte - Victoria Pohle	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Astrid Cirotte - Olympe Lancelot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW
- Lorena Solar Donoso
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Carmen Gallardo Guevara - Lorena Solar Donoso	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Nuria Sarganella Verdu - Lorena Solar Donoso	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Anna Kubareva - Lorena Solar Donoso	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Claudia Ferrer Perez - Lorena Solar Donoso	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Lorena Solar Donoso - Carmen Lopez Martinez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLW

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