Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lyon (France) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 9 June 2024, Sunday

Referee: Bodin L. (Fra)


	Axel Garcian		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.48
	2.49	1.48	Watch
	2.48	1.52
	2.48	1.52
	2.63	1.45	Watch
	2.45	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.59)	1.49 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Axel Garcian
37.4%

Lucas Poullain
62.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Axel Garcian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Axel Garcian than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Axel Garcian that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lucas Poullain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Axel Garcian - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Garcian is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Poullain is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Poullain could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Poullain will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Garcian won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Axel Garcian
ITF Tournaments
04.06.24	Axel Garcian - Damian Wenger	0:2 ✺
22.05.24	Lilian Marmousez - Axel Garcian	Marmousez L. retired ✺
10.05.24	Axel Garcian - Dusan Obradovic	0:2 ✺
08.05.24	Peter Fajta - Axel Garcian	0:2 ✺
25.04.24	Lilian Marmousez - Axel Garcian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 L?LWL
- Lucas Poullain
ITF Tournaments
30.05.24	Lucas Poullain - Theo Papamalamis	0:2 ✺
25.05.24	Lucas Poullain - Alexey Vatutin	0:2 ✺
24.05.24	Lucas Poullain - Simon Beaupain	2:1 ✺
23.05.24	Lucas Poullain - Alexandre Reco	2:0 ✺
21.05.24	Lucas Poullain - Niels Villard	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.03.24	Axel Garcian - Lucas Poullain	1:2

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