Match Info

Date: 25 June 2020, Thursday


	Axel Geller		Nicolas Mejia

	1	2
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.72	2.05	Watch
	1.7	1.95
	1.68	2.1
	1.73	2
	1.61	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.12)	2.06 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Axel Geller
54.9%

Nicolas Mejia
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Axel Geller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Axel Geller's performance.

Nicolas Mejia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Mejia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Axel Geller than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Axel Geller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Mejia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	0%	16.1%

Axel Geller - Nicolas Mejia Predictions

Users Predictions: Axel Geller will win (47 of 56 users predict this - 83.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.31% – 93.55%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Axel Geller
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
20.06.20	Axel Geller - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
19.06.20	Axel Geller - Paolo Lorenzi	2:0 ✺
18.06.20	Michael Mmoh - Axel Geller	2:0 ✺
Exhibition International Tennis Series Men
17.06.20	Axel Geller - Jamie Cerretani	2:0 ✺
17.06.20	Axel Geller - Hunter Reese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWL
- Nicolas Mejia
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
24.06.20	Dmitry Popko - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
23.06.20	Nicolas Mejia - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Exhibition International Tennis Series Men
22.06.20	Raleigh Smith - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
13.06.20	Paolo Lorenzi - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
12.06.20	Michael Mmoh - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Women
11.06.20	Nicolas Mejia - Axel Geller	2:1

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