Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Sapporo 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sapporo 2 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Ayumi Miyamoto		Gaeul Jang

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Ayumi Miyamoto
52.8%

Gaeul Jang
47.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayumi Miyamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Gaeul Jang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayumi Miyamoto than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayumi Miyamoto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaeul Jang than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gaeul Jang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Miyamoto is ranked WTA: 791. Jang is ranked WTA: 779.

Miyamoto has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jang is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jang may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Miyamoto will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayumi Miyamoto
ITF Tournaments
25.06.26	Ayumi Miyamoto - Mayuka Aikawa	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Ayumi Miyamoto - Kanon Sawashiro	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Ayumi Miyamoto - Aishi Das	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Ayumi Miyamoto - Sae Noguchi	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Ying Zhang - Ayumi Miyamoto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWW
- Gaeul Jang
ITF Tournaments
25.06.26	Gaeul Jang - Ying Zhang	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Gaeul Jang - Sara Yoshida	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Gaeul Jang - Yuhan Liu	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Gaeul Jang - Aishi Das	1:2 ✺
18.06.26	Gaeul Jang - Yuzuha Negishi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLW

Ayumi Miyamoto - Gaeul Jang