Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tolentino - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Beatrice Ricci		Tatiana Pieri

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.36
	7.71	1.06	Watch
	2.85	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↑ (3)	1.3 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beatrice Ricci
24.3%

Tatiana Pieri
75.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beatrice Ricci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beatrice Ricci's form might have worsened.

Tatiana Pieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tatiana Pieri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beatrice Ricci than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beatrice Ricci, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tatiana Pieri than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tatiana Pieri, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Beatrice Ricci - Tatiana Pieri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ricci is ranked WTA: 505. Pieri is ranked WTA: 353.

Ricci is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pieri has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pieri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pieri is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beatrice Ricci
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Daria Lodikova - Beatrice Ricci	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Beatrice Ricci - Carlota Martinez Cirez	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Beatrice Ricci - Radka Zelnickova	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Beatrice Ricci - Lea Boskovic	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Beatrice Ricci - Zhibek Kulambayeva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Tatiana Pieri
ATP Challenger
06.09.25	Nahia Berecoechea - Tatiana Pieri	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.08.25	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson - Tatiana Pieri	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Tatiana Pieri - Kajsa Rinaldo Persson	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Dalila Jakupovic - Tatiana Pieri	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Jessica Pieri - Tatiana Pieri	Pieri T. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWW?

Beatrice Ricci - Tatiana Pieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide