Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: INDIAN WELLS (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: INDIAN WELLS (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	14:10	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	04:10	SportKlub
Brazil	00:10	ESPN 3
Croatia	04:10	SportKlub
Czech Republic	04:10	CANAL+ Sport 2
France	04:10	beIN Sports, Eurosport 1
Germany	04:10	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	03:10	Eleven Sports
Romania	05:10	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	04:10	SportKlub
Slovenia	04:10	SportKlub


	Beatriz Haddad Maia		Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.45	1.55	Watch
	2.54	1.58
	2.55	1.58
	2.38	1.57
	2.38	1.59	Watch
	2.42	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.3)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beatriz Haddad Maia
39.2%

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
60.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beatriz Haddad Maia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beatriz Haddad Maia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Beatriz Haddad Maia - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Haddad Maia will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Pavlyuchenkova will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pavlyuchenkova: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Haddad Maia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pavlyuchenkova is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Haddad Maia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pavlyuchenkova will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Pavlyuchenkova to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Haddad Maia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beatriz Haddad Maia
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.24	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0 ✺
WTA San Diego
28.02.24	Katie Boulter - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:1 ✺
WTA Dubai
18.02.24	Jasmine Paolini - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:1 ✺
WTA Doha
12.02.24	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Xin Yu Wang	0:2 ✺
WTA Abu Dhabi
10.02.24	Darya Kasatkina - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLL
- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
WTA Indian Wells
08.03.24	Nuria Parrizas Diaz - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	0:2 ✺
WTA San Diego
01.03.24	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
29.02.24	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Xin Yu Wang	2:1 ✺
WTA Dubai
20.02.24	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Ludmilla Samsonova	Samsonova L. walkover ✺
19.02.24	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Marie Bouzkova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA Adelaide
07.01.24	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	0:2
WTA Hong Kong
12.10.23	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:1

Beatriz Haddad Maia - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova