Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	17:05	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:05	HBO Max
Bulgaria	18:05	HBO Max
Croatia	17:05	HBO Max
Czech Republic	17:05	HBO Max
Denmark	17:05	HBO Max
Finland	18:05	HBO Max
France	17:05	HBO Max
Hungary	17:05	HBO Max
Moldova	18:05	HBO Max
Montenegro	17:05	HBO Max
Netherlands	17:05	HBO Max
North Macedonia	17:05	HBO Max
Norway	17:05	HBO Max
Poland	17:05	HBO Max
Romania	18:05	HBO Max
Serbia	17:05	HBO Max
Slovenia	17:05	HBO Max
Spain	17:05	HBO Max
Sweden	17:05	HBO Max


	Beatriz Haddad Maia		Sonay Kartal

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.1	1.72
	1.99	1.78	Watch
	2.02	1.86
	2.03	1.79	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.06	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.91)	1.79 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beatriz Haddad Maia
46.7%

Sonay Kartal
53.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beatriz Haddad Maia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Sonay Kartal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beatriz Haddad Maia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonay Kartal than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	0%	53.3%

Beatriz Haddad Maia - Sonay Kartal Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Haddad Maia will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Kartal will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kartal: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sonay Kartal will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Haddad Maia is ranked WTA: 20. Kartal is ranked WTA: 48.

Haddad Maia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kartal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kartal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Haddad Maia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beatriz Haddad Maia
WTA Monterrey
20.08.25	Marie Bouzkova - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
09.08.25	Maya Joint - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:1 ✺
WTA Montreal
29.07.25	Suzan Lamens - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:1 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
02.07.25	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Dalma Galfi	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW
- Sonay Kartal
WTA Cleveland
17.08.25	Sonay Kartal - Solana Sierra	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
08.08.25	Sonay Kartal - Caroline Garcia	1:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
06.07.25	Sonay Kartal - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	0:2 ✺
04.07.25	Diane Parry - Sonay Kartal	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Viktoriya Tomova - Sonay Kartal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
08.03.25	Sonay Kartal - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:0

Beatriz Haddad Maia - Sonay Kartal