Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano (Switzerland), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday


	Beibit Zhukayev		Mees Rottgering

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.24	3.7	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	1.25	3.75	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.44)	3.82 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beibit Zhukayev
75.5%

Mees Rottgering
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beibit Zhukayev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beibit Zhukayev's performance.

Mees Rottgering has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mees Rottgering might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beibit Zhukayev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mees Rottgering than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mees Rottgering could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Beibit Zhukayev - Mees Rottgering Predictions

Users Predictions: Beibit Zhukayev will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 221. Rottgering is ranked ATP: 836.

Recent matches Zhukayev is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rottgering is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zhukayev will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Challenger
19.02.25	Matteo Martineau - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Marat Sharipov - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
02.02.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Muzammil Murtaza	Canceled ✺
01.02.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Huzaifa Abdul Rehman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWL?W
- Mees Rottgering
ITF Tournaments
20.02.25	Mees Rottgering - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Mees Rottgering - Oskari Paldanius	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.25	Daniel Rincon - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
03.02.25	Mattia Bellucci - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.01.25	Felix Corwin - Mees Rottgering	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL

Beibit Zhukayev - Mees Rottgering: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide