Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Bonita Springs, FL, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday


	Bella Payne		Carson Tanguilig

	1	2
	2.08	1.76
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2	1.7
	2.16	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.39)	1.68 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bella Payne
44.7%

Carson Tanguilig
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bella Payne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bella Payne's performance.

Carson Tanguilig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carson Tanguilig might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bella Payne than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bella Payne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carson Tanguilig than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carson Tanguilig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bella Payne - Carson Tanguilig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Payne is ranked WTA: 740. Tanguilig is ranked WTA: 948.

Payne is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tanguilig's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Payne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tanguilig will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Payne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bella Payne
ITF Tournaments
09.04.26	Bella Payne - Allegra Korpanec Davies	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Bella Payne - Maria Herazo Gonzalez	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Bella Payne - Sofia Johnson	1:2 ✺
20.02.26	Bella Payne - Alexandra Vagramov	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Bella Payne - Jensen Diianni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW
- Carson Tanguilig
ITF Tournaments
09.04.26	Carson Tanguilig - Ana Grubor	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Jenna Dean - Carson Tanguilig	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Sofia Johnson - Carson Tanguilig	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Carson Tanguilig - Gina Marie Dittmann	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Haley Giavara - Carson Tanguilig	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.10.25	Carson Tanguilig - Bella Payne	2:0

Bella Payne - Carson Tanguilig: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide