Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Ben Jones		Yuki Mochizuki

	1	2
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	1.47	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.47)	1.85 ↓ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Jones
48.2%

Yuki Mochizuki
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ben Jones's form might have worsened.

Yuki Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yuki Mochizuki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Jones than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ben Jones, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuki Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yuki Mochizuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ben Jones - Yuki Mochizuki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jones is ranked ATP: 727. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 558.

Jones has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mochizuki is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Jones Tennis
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Ben Jones - Oleksii Krutykh	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Ben Jones - Sergi Perez Contri	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Filippo Romano - Ben Jones	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Jarno Jans - Ben Jones	Jans J. retired ✺
18.02.26	Borna Gojo - Ben Jones	Jones B. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLL??
- Yuki Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
29.03.26	Li Tu - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Shunsuke Nakagawa - Yuki Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Jie Cui - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.03.26	Uisung Park - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Yuki Mochizuki - Kai-I Wang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL

Ben Jones - Yuki Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide