Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: TOKYO (JAPAN), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Eurosport 2, TV2 Sport X
France	Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Ben Shelton		Jordan Thompson

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.65	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.7	2.29
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.21	Watch
	1.7	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)	2.2 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
56.8%

Jordan Thompson
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Jordan Thompson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jordan Thompson than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Ben Shelton - Jordan Thompson Predictions

Users Predictions: Ben Shelton will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Jordan Thompson could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shelton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Tokyo
17.10.23	Ben Shelton - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
12.10.23	Ben Shelton - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
10.10.23	Jannik Sinner - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Ben Shelton - Roman Safiullin	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	Ben Shelton - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWWW
- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Tokyo
16.10.23	Jordan Thompson - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.23	Jordan Thompson - Terence Atmane	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
24.09.23	Jordan Thompson - Roman Safiullin	Thompson J. retired ✺
22.09.23	Jordan Thompson - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
21.09.23	Max Purcell - Jordan Thompson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WL?WW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.08.22	Ben Shelton - Jordan Thompson	2:0

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